Starts of the Week: Week 7
Lukas Kacer | @kacer_lukas
Matt Stafford (vs NYG)
It seems as if Matt Stafford is solidifying himself as an every week fantasy QB1 and I am in full support of this, especially for this week. The Giants have shown vulnerability in many games this year as they have allowed QB totals of 29.3, 23.6, 27.3, 33.4, 22.2.
Shown above are Stafford’s home (in split) and away (out of split) splits in terms of fantasy points in his whole career. As you can see, Stafford has been significantly better at home and that trend is only going to improve this week. This season, Stafford has a 108.4 passer rating at home (5th amongst QBs) and the Giants have allowed QBR games of 158.3, 146.5, 115.5, 108.2, 88.9. Without a doubt this is a great matchup for Stafford and with the recent struggles/frustration the Lions have had I think they are going to unleash that frustration and demolish the Giants this weekend.
Leonard Fournette (vs NYJ)
I am going to ride Fournette again this week, and it is due to one major stat that I found during my research. Fournette is no doubt a weekly RB1 and that will continue for the rest of the year based off volume, but he still only has one touchdown and that is going to change soon. The Jets are allowing 1.7 rushing touchdowns per game this season, so unless Gardner Minshew runs in the touchdown then it is time for Fournette to finally get the touchdowns he deserves. Positive regression is coming for this running back and we will soon talk about him in the same level as the top backs in the league, and it WILL happen this week.
Tyler Lockett (vs ATL)
Lockett has followed up a 32-point performance with above average “bad” weeks of 3 games above 12 points. Lockett is as consistent as they come, and he is in a prime matchup this week against the Falcons. In the last 5 weeks the Falcons have allowed 47.8 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position and with no hopes of turning that around, Lockett is in a smash spot this week. Lockett is seeing a 21% target share, but I expect that to go up with the recent injury to Will Dissly. The Seahawks have a lack of depth when it comes to offensive weapons and this is only going to help Lockett to produce fantasy points. Lockett is basically a guarantee to put up 16 points this week and has a clear path to two touchdown upside. This Falcons team is losing hope, so Lockett is going to take advantage of that this week.
Gerald Everett (vs CIN)
A target share hog tight end against a bottom team in the league is the formula to a successful start of the week tight end and Gerald Everett is the prime candidate this week. Everett has been a favorite target of Goff the last three weeks, for he has received target share percentages of 22%, 21%, and 27%. Even though it is sad to say, Everett has been the most consistent fantasy option for this Rams offense. That will eventually change, but I think Goff is going to stick to what is working and ride Everett to the promise land this week. The Bengals have been very bad this year against teams that feature a tight end on a regular basis and lucky for the Rams, they use a tight end on a regular basis. In the Bengals last 5 games, they have faced two teams that regularly feature the tight end (Bills and Ravens) and both of those tight ends had great games of 16.6 and 15.9. Keep streaming Everett with confidence and take the double digit points and go win your matchup this week!