By Sean Weymouth
Ok I don’t have a long time before kick off but I wanted to share some thoughts on tonight’s Showdown Slate.
Hope everyone enjoyed a happy and healthy Thanksgiving and now it’s time to give Thanks to the Monday Night Football Gods by doing a quick draft kings deep dive!
Due to the snow storms effecting my home near Boston, I have less time than normal to put my thoughts down here. So bear with me with this abbreviated style tonight. Here we go:
The Defenses. Tonight’s showdown slate features two teams that have defenses that largely have been feared due to their historical powers and not som much their current statistics. The Vikings ($3,400) for all of their fanfare of a dominant secondary actually rank 29th and 24th for Passing Yards allowed and total yards allowed. However they are Top 10 against the run allowing just over 100 yards on the ground per game. Meanwhile the same could be said for the Seahawks ($3,200). While slightly better (20th) against the pass than the Vikings and they are also strong against the run allowing just under 100 yards on the ground per game.
What does that mean? Considering both the Vikings and the Seahawks Offensive game plans start with the RUN, I could very easily see both of the defenses stuffing 8 in the box to try to shut Chris Carson ($8,400) Rashaad Penny ($5,400) “The Seahawks” and Dalvin Cook ($11,800) Alexander Mattison ($2,200) down. If the game flow goes this way, I predict a shoot out to follow. This isn’t to say I’d ignore all the running backs though. Despite his price rage Dalvin Cook’s ability to catch balls out of the backfield has me placing him above the rest. Though Penny and Mathison’s price tags are nice too for lineup construction. I’m not in love with Carson. First Pete Carroll has come out and said they want to get Penny more involved. Second Penny actually out snapped Carson last time on the field after Carson fumbled (again). So my two backs of choice here are Cook and Penny.
The Defenses as I stated are in play but be mindful if they put 8 in the box, that will leave their secondary in zone and under manned. We have two dangerous QBs to have this occur with so let’s talk passers and pass catchers.
I like Russell Wilson ($10,800) a whole lot tonight. The once and potentially future MVP is just a phenom who finds a way to win. Tyler Lockett ($9,600) his trusted target was ill this week, but by all accounts he will be a full go tonight and I think Lockett makes for a fine Captain pick, paired with Wilson. The same could be said for DK Metcalf ($7,400) who is an absolute athlete and a deep threat. I actually prefer Metcalf to Lockett for Captain but pairing him with Wilson and Lockett may make any lineup a winner. You also have Josh Gordon ($4,400) Jaron Brown ($1,000) Malik Turner ($2,000) and David Moore (1.600) all receiving snaps. Turner caught a really pretty 33 yard TD last time “Dangeruss” took the field and could make for a deep flier. Josh Gordon looked like a 3rd down target for Wilson recently as well and has the talent to break out at any time. Turner and Gordon will be in my player pool, more favoring Gordon.
Jacob Hollister ($4,800) also has been a recent target for Russell Wilson, especially in the Red Zone but watch out because despite a leaky secondary overall, the Vikings have been quietly good at suppressing TEs yards after the catch. I do expect Hollister to be a popular play tonight so a contrarian pivot may be Josh Gordon.
Lastly kicker Jason Myers ($3,800) can make a nice price play but there could be a real chance that the only kicking Myers does tonight is for extra points as is what happened the last time Seattle took the grid iron.
I also really like Kirk Cousins ($9,000) tonight because I see the Vikings needing to throw to be competitive. Adam Thielan has been ruled out already and so that means the Seahawks will put whatever firepower that they can on Stefon Diggs (9,800). Do where will Cousins’ targets go? My picks are tight ends Irv Smith ($3,600) and Kyle Rudolph ($6,600). Cousins has come out multiple times praising Smith as a security blanket and Rudolph has a clear X marks the spot when the Vikings are in the Red Zone. A Vikings Tight End Stack with Cousins could be a very contrarian way to attack things.
Don’t sleep on Olabisi Johnson ($2,600) either as he had nine targets last week with Thielan out. And of course the aforementioned Dalvin Cook too will get his share of attention on Cousins.
This isn’t to say Diggs is a bad play – he certainly can find a way to beat anyone down the field. I think my favorite stack will be with Cousins in Captain and all of his targets – Smith Jr, Rudolph, Diggs and Johnson then come back with whatever Seahawk I can afford. Just my opinion.
Dan Bailey ($4,000) is also a fine play but just like Myers on the other side of the game, there is a real possibility the majority of kicks he makes will he for extra points and if that is the case I think there are better ways to use your budget.
Good luck in your Contests! Gobble Gobble!