Houston Roughnecks vs Dallas Renegades
There is a real chance that the Roughnecks are head and shoulders over the rest of this league and it starts with QB Phillip Walker. Last week Walker completed 24 of 35 passes, threw for 306 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also ran for 34 yards and another score. Walker is the clear #1 QB on this slate with a Great Matchup today in the Renegades. His salary cost is the only thing that may be prohibitive, but with 48 Fantasy Point upside – I’ll be eating it.
If Walker is going to be the #1 QB than his #1 receiving option Cam Phillips must be in play too – For good reason too! Last week 194 of Walkers yards went to Phillips as well as 3 TD grabs bringing Phillips’ TD total to 7 on the season. Phillips does carry a Q tag currently so keep an eye on that but all signs are pointing to him suiting up and being GTG and following his week 3 performance he will be a very popular option. Stacking with Walker and running it back with a Houston receiver may help to differentiate you.
Some sneakier options with Houston are receiver Kahlil Lewis who has seen 6 or more targets in all 3 games so far. Former NFL guy Sammie Coates looks to be good to go this week which could cut into Lewis’ target share, but for now Lewis is Walkers second favorite target on the field and I don’t mind taking a tournament flier. Speaking of Coates, it should be noted that he has yet to fully “break out” and it could be only a matter of time before he shows the skills that earned him an NFL Pro Bowl nod. His recent performances may keep the masses from clicking his name, but I don’t mind taking a shot. If the Renegades sell out to stop Cam Phillips, Coates may suddenly take that step up that we have been waiting for.
If you are playing a Houston Running Back you are playing James Butler and you aren’t playing anyone else. But it comes with risk. With Phillip Walker throwing as he is, there hasn’t been a lot of room for Butler to get going. On the season he is averaging 4.6 yards per carry, but there just haven’t been a huge allotment of carries. Then again this is the XFL and what running back really is, compared to their NFL counter parts. Butler will be on the field for a lot of snaps today and with that comes opportunity. He may be a low owned RB dart throw where most of the field will be looking at the Dallas backs instead.
The Dallas Renegades
If Dallas wants to stay competitive in this game then NFL vet Landry Jones needs to build on the momentum that he began in week 3. Jones finally took the field last week and was a difference maker for this offense taking 274 yards for 3 Touchdowns. He also did have 2 Interceptions – but lest we forget, he is Landry Jones after all. The Roughnecks Pass Defense has not been great thus far, giving up 230+ yards per game and Jones could have a big day. Clicking his name also saves you some cash versus Walker’s price tag on the other side of this game but he will be a popular play, you will need to find a contrarian way to stand out.
Jones’ #1 target is receiver Donald Parham who saw 7 targets from Jones catching 5 for 101 and 2 touchdowns. Parham is quickly emerging as the leading Tight End in the XFL and he has a clear report with Landry Jones. A Jones Parham, Houston receiver stack may be a DFS winning stack today but is likely will also be a popular play today especially with the savings in salary versus a Walker Phillips stack. If you are able to find a way to do it, paying up for both Parham and Phillips together with Walker may be a contrarian play to consider.
A couple other Renegades to look at include Flynn Nagel who also caught a TD from Jones last week. Nagel’s shifty dink and dunk routes had Jones’ eye and I’d look for that to continue in week 3. He is a little touchdown dependent though, but he also is a great salary saver in one of your flex spots. Also, Jeff Badet who could fly under the radar today due to a lack of usage in Week 3. If you go back to week 2 however Badet saw a whopping 9 targets and caught 6 of them. With another week of practice with Landry Jones under center, now under his belt, Badet could reclaim his position in the offense and I just don’t know how many people will be playing him. Recency bias is a real thing.
Both of Dallas’ running backs are fully in play today as both are running well and catching balls out of the backfield. Cameron Artis-Payne is the clear #1 last week going 13 for 80 on the ground and collecting 56 yards through the air while #2 Lance Dunbar is right there too with 56 yards in the air and 23 on the ground. Neither guy found the end zone last week but I’d expect one of them (or both) to end that drought today against Houston. Dunbar will be one of the chalkiest picks today with his lower salary and his opportunity. If you are able to get to Artis-Payne I would try to. Again both are fine plays today, but by paying up for Artis-Payne you may be able to differentiate from the field.
My DFS Takeways from this game:
⁃ Phillip Walker $12,000 is the most expensive QB today but also the clear #1 option. He has been fantastic all three weeks of the season and now he gets to square off against his “in state” rival. With Cam Phillips likely to play I’d expect a big day for Walker.
⁃ Either stacked with Walker or played by himself Cam Phillips $11,700 is also the #1 play in his position. He should maintain his high target share and usage and he has been a beast when it comes to touchdown production. If play goes the way it has been for the Roughnecks it may be tough to take down a DFS tournament without either Walker or Phillips or both in your lineups.
– I also like Khalil Lewis $8,900 of the roughnecks. He has yet to see any less than 6 targets this season and he may be a less popular option with people wanting to play Phillips for obvious reasons. If the Renegades are able to stop Phillips, Lewis will be the beneficiary of Targets and he could be a sneaky way to some strong Fantasy points.
⁃ I also like Landry Jones at $9,800 today but I expect his name value will drive his ownership up. While I do think Tight End Donald Parham $9,900 is also a strong play today, one way to offset the Landry Jones chalk could be to add to a Jones-Parham stack with a Flynn Nagel $4,800 or a Jeff Badet $8,900 both of whom will carry lesser ownership thus creating a contrarian lineup.
– I will tell you that I’m going to try and find a way to stack Jones – Parham – Phillips as a way to attack this game. It may be impossible, but I’m gonna try.
⁃ I also like the Dallas running backs Cameron Artis Payne $8,000 and Lance Dunbar $6,700 who I think both will have to have big games if Dallas wants to keep this game close. Again Dunbar may be the chalkiest play of the day, so I prefer Artis-Payne but it may be tough to fit in higher priced receivers around him. Hence why Dunbar is such a popular play. His salary makes things work
DC Defenders vs Tampa Bay Vipers