Real Deal DFS XFL Week 4

LA Wildcats vs NY Guardians

Let’s start with LA:

LA Wildcats QB Josh Johnson has been limited in practice on Thursday and carries a Q rag going into today. He also carried that tag into last week’s matchup where he carved up the, previously favorably featured in this article, defense of the DC Defenders with 274 yards and 3 scores. Look to Josh Jackson to play today.

But he has No Nelson Spruce, his main man. Spruce’s being out opens up more opportunities for Tre McBride, who last week broke the slate with 109 Yards and a Touchdown as well as Jordon Smallwood who would now jump up in the pecking order.

However if the Wildcats are paying attention, it wasn’t excellent quarterback play that felled the Guardians last week (to say the least Jordan Ta’amu left a lot to be desired on the field) it was THE RUNNING GAME of St Louis with Mike Jones, Christine Michel and Keith Ford combining for 165 yards and 3 touchdown (one per guy). The LA Wildcats running game hasn’t been spectacular this year, but I like the opportunity for Elijah Hood, who will play this week and is the clear #1 over Larry Rose.

Let’s talk some Guardians!

If you are a Guardian fan you probably haven’t been impressed by the lack luster play of QB Matt McGloin thus far. Good news – McGloin WILL NOT PLAY today with a rib injury. I would expect back up Marquise Williams to get the start – but, last week when he entered for the injured McGloin, Williams didn’t really set the world on fire with 95 yards through the air. He was yanked in favor of third stringer Luis Perez who threw the Guardians only Touchdown of the afternoon. Guardian quarterbacks I will be staying away from today.

That doesn’t mean I don’t like anyone on the team. Let’s talk Wide Receivers! The potential revolving QB situation could pay dividends for Mekale McCay and Colby Pearson. Of the two I prefer Pearson who has emerged as the deep threat on the team. If either Williams or Perez want to claim McGloin’s crown, they will have to score points and down field throws to Pearson could be their path.

Could this finally be the day that Guardians running back Darius Victor finally breaks out? Or could this be the game that Guardians running back Tim Cook says “No Mas! I’m the man” … either way I don’t mind either mans opportunity today. First the Wildcats are middle of the road against the Run, but more importantly with the Guardians QB situation as it is I would speculate they will lean on their running backs a bit more than usual. If I had to take one, I’d take Cook who averages 4.3 yards per take and also is just a tick more healthy than Victor. But both guys are in play for me.

My DFS Takeways from this game:

⁃ Tre McBride $8,100 is the lock play here. Nelson Spruce’s Target share will go somewhere and McBride will benefit. I think he is a MUST PLAY Cash Game Play today and I think he is a strong play in tournaments – but he will be very popular, so be warned.

⁃ I think Wildcats QB Josh Jackson $10,200 is a fine play, but at that price you really need him to have a huge game and I’m not sure that happens here. I think the Wildcats take care of business and lean on the run game as later in the game. I’m not likely to get to Jackson for that reason

⁃ I also like all of Running Backs in this game. My favorites being the Wildcats’ Elijah Hood $5,500 and Larry Rose $3,500. Hood is carrying a questionable tag so keep an eye. If he sits Rose immediately becomes a lock for me and also DeJun Harris $3,400 would become viable with an increased work load.

⁃ I think smart players will also have some shares of the Guardians backs Darius Victor $4,800 and Tim Cook $4,200. Victor carries a Q tag but is probable but even still if the two I prefer Cook who has looked good when he has had the ball. Plus $400 savings. Especially if you are making multiple lineups, I would have some shares of the Guardians backs.

⁃ I also like the Wildcats DST $4,500 today. With the Guardians QB situation up in the air, the Wildcats D should have a real opportunity to put this game away and create turnovers.

Next up Seattle Dragons vs St Louis Battlehawks

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