New York Guardians vs Dallas Renegades
Dallas’ QB Landry Jones is out for at least 2 Weeks and Coach Bob Stoops has confirmed it will me Phillip Nelson under center for the home team. The good news is Nelson gets to try his hand against the second worst pass defense in the league on Saturday. The bad news is, he is largely unknown having last started in Week 1.
Fortunately for Nelson it is looking like he will have Dallas’ #1 target Donald Parham on the field to catch passes which is only a good thing. Parham is quickly becoming the Tight End to watch in the XFL. In addition to Parham keep an eye on both Jeff Badet and Flynn Nagel. who could find extra targets coming their way should New York sells out to stop Parham. Nagel particularly offers upside with his shifty versatile routes could be excellent outlets for Nelson to look for.
The flip side of this game also offers some confusion. Matt McGloin who missed the last game looks to be healthy and ready for Week 5. Only thing is backup Luis Perez stepper in and played well last week. I could easily see a QB by committee here, especially if whichever one starts isn’t playing well.
For me the two target pass catchers here for New York are Mekale McKay and Colby Pearson, despite both having disappointing weeks in Week 4. The Guardians QB is spreading the ball around their pass catchers fairly evenly but with a beatable Dallas secondary on tap McCay and Pearson stand to have the best chances to have a breakout performance.
What I really have interest with in this game is the running games from both teams. Dallas’ Cameron Artis-Payne and Lance Dunbar have really been standouts all season with both showing dual threat capabilities. In Week 5, of the two, I prefer Dunbar who has a slightly better chance at usage as a receiver. On the ground, New York has been very strong on defense – 1st in the league in fact but despite this matchup, the usage has been there for the Dallas backs and I like them a lot on Saturday.
The Guardian’s backfield tandem of Darius Victor and Tim Cook have been splitting the workload fairly evenly but it was Victor who had the hot hand in Week 4 taking 18 for 84 yards. I’d expect the team to give Victor every chance to keep that hot hand hot and I expect him to start. Tim Cook also has upside here as a dual threat and should be considered too, especially against a Dallas run defense in the bottom half of the league.
My DFS Takeaways
Here is another game where I just don’t feel confident in either sides’ QB rotation to feel confident rostering. If we get firm news pre-game on who will be starting I tend to lean more to New York, simply due to matchup.
I think with a team ready to stay hot, we will see Mekale McCay $6,800 have a strong game. I like the matchup here for New York’s pass catchers but McCay really stands out.
I also like the Running games here. Dallas’ Lance Dunbar $7,600 is my favorite with his dual threat ability fully in play. He will be a popular play but could be worth it, coming off a great showing last week including a score.
I also like the opportunity for Darius Victor $5,800 of the Guardians. He represents a ton of value at his price tag especially if he starts and (providing he plays well) controls the lionshare or carries against Dallas’ shaky run defense.
St Louis Battlehawks vs DC Defenders.