What’s going on guys! A quick introduction before I go gaga over the Dak news for the article. I just recently joined on with the RDFHQ squad as a content contributor and I just wanted to say thanks for the opportunity to lend my fantasy talents to the site. This is going to be a fun experience and I want to not only make sure that you readers enjoy my content here but come away informed behind my perspective on things. I also want you guys to know that yes, I am a Cowboys fan so this flows right into my wheelhouse. One thing I’ve learned while playing fantasy football is that you can’t be bias. There’s always some value to find in fantasy, even if it comes from a rival squad.
You can follow me on Twitter (@hype_phinest) and you can see I do beef with NFC East rival fans but it’s largely all in fun. I mean, if you can’t talk trash in football and fantasy, what’s the point, right? I’ve gone on long enough though so let’s get into this news!
DAK HAS GOT THE BAG! The news went down Monday night that the Cowboys and Dak Prescott have finally agreed to terms on a new 4-year contract worth $160 million dollars! With $126 million dollars guaranteed, $42 million a year APY over the first 3 years of the deal, as well as seeing $75 million dollars in the first year alone this deal was definitely long overdue for the Cowboys franchise QB. What makes this deal even sweeter is the fact that the cap hit for the 2021 season is just $22.2 million dollars! This structure of the contract saves the Cowboys $15 million dollars as they would have to lock in $37.7 million dollars if they had to use the franchise tag to lock Dak in for the 2021 season. That move was never really practical as it would have greatly impacted the Cowboy’s ability to make more moves in the offseason whether it was bringing in free agents, re-signing their own players, or having money to sign guys coming out of the 2021 NFL Draft.
With Dak Prescott locked in for the next 4 years, the Cowboys offense will be one of the prime targets for fantasy owners to target during the upcoming fantasy draft. Fantasy owners should know how good Dak Prescott is for fantasy. Just last season from Week’s 1-4, Prescott was the QB 1. He was dominating with 1,690 passing yards (ranked 1st), a 9/3 TD:INT ratio, and an 8.4 y/a (ranked 8th). Prescott was also averaging the most fantasy points per game over that span with 31.3. Russell Wilson was directly behind him with 31.2 fantasy points per game. Dak also added some rushing icing on the fantasy cake, running 16 times for 86 yards and 3 touchdowns over the first 4 weeks too. Basically, if you had Dak Prescott as your QB, you may have been cruising if you built yourself a good squad.
Dak’s ADP coming into the 2020 season was the 5.07, per FantasyFootballCalculator. His value also steadily began to rise even before that after his strong fantasy performance from 2019 where he finished the QB 2. In fact, Dak has finished outside of the fantasy Top 10 just once in his career which was back in 2017. He finished 11th. 11th! Dak has been one of the more consistent quarterbacks for fantasy and the Cowboys know that the offense doesn’t move without him under center. With the Cowboys in 2020, the Cowboys offense generated nearly 33 points a game. When he went down, the offense went into the toilet dropping to barely over 21 points per game. Not only that but the Cowboys skill positions also hit the skids once Dak was lost for the season with the compound fracture.
There’s no getting around that having a good quarterback makes drafting skill players even more appealing and the Cowboys have plenty of guys to choose from. Amari Cooper, Ceedee Lamb, Ezekiel Elliott, Michael Gallup, and Blake Jarwin are all (or at least should be) targets for fantasy in the next draft. I would wager that most folks will be scared off from the down performance from the team in 2020 and may have their fantasy picks skewed a bit because of it. Don’t be that guy. There’s always a risk when it comes to fantasy when you’re targeting guys that are returning from injury. Look at it this way. Panthers running back Christian McCaffery is coming back from a season-ending injury. Are you passing on him just because he got hurt? Not likely.
Prescott continues to evolve as a passer and signal caller and his ability to lead the Cowboys offense as well as the dominant performances he’s been able to muster with the offensive weapons he has makes the Cowboys offense one of the better targets for fantasy owners. If you still don’t believe that, please scroll back up a couple of paragraphs. The offense without Dak was just awful. Michael Gallup and Dalton Schultz were all but unplayable in fantasy lineups. Ezekiel Elliott’s usage dropped even by his own standards and was hard to plug him in even with better matchups. Elliott was the RB 4 from week’s 1-4 and averaged 22 fantasy points per game. Once Dak went down, as well as other injuries to the offensive line, Elliott dropped to the RB 20 the rest of the way and his FPPG average dropped to just 12 points a game.
Dallas has an offseason to fix the biggest, glaring, and obvious part of the team in the defense and maybe even consider adding some more depth along the oline to make the team even better. Getting Dak’s contract done was one of the biggest things to clear off the Cowboys “to do” list heading into the offseason. Mission accomplished. Now fantasy owners can focus on Dak’s recovery and rehab from the ankle injury to get a gauge on where his ADP will be for 2021. Right now, even with the worry of the ankle, Dak’s ADP sits at the 5.05 according to FantasyFootballCalculator.
With that new deal on the books, it may be smart not to bet against the guy who’s been betting on himself since the start of his career. Not only does he have a chance to solidify his status as one of the better quarterbacks in the league (he likely would have done that had he been healthy the whole 2020 season) but he will get another shot to show the haters and naysayers that he belongs in the discussion as one of the great QB’s of this era.
Dak Prescott is in for a great year this season. Don’t be that guy that misses out on him.