You can reach me on Twitter @DelRayBoston
So happy to be back writing DFS on Real Deal Fantasy HQ for another season! My name is Sean Weymouth and hopefully you checked out our Week 1 DFS Weekly article earlier today and are heading into Sunday Night in the green!
Tonight we have the first Sunday Night Football game of the season and that means the first NFL Showdown slate on Draft Kings and the first NFL Single Game slate of the season on FanDuel. Get Excited!! So let’s get into this game!
I think there are two ways to play the Rams tonight on Draft Kings. Either you are playing the Rams Defense ($9,600 DK Captain, $6,400 DK Flex) and thinking that it will be a low scoring affair, OR you are thinking that this game may end up being an offensive bonanza. So let’s look at both sides of this team quickly and I’ll give you my opinion along the way.
(Editors Notes – You cannot play Defenses in FanDuel Single Game Tournaments. FanDuel Single Pricing will be addressed for players as they are listed. Draft Kings Captain selections in Showdown carry a premium price versus a Flex selection, where FanDuel MVP and Flex carry the same player costs)
The Rams are a stacked team on Defense and there is little doubt in that statement. Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey aside they have strong players in every position. However it is dangerous to roster a Defense at Captain on Draft Kings. Keep in mind every yard against, every first down against, every point against will weigh on your point total and even in a total dominating shut out, it is very difficult for a Defense to outscore an effective Offensive Stud on any given slate. Has it happened before where a Defense took a tournament down? Of Course! But the law of averages says it will not. So I would encourage those on the side of the Rams Defense dominating this game, consider what else that will mean for the Rams team. Likely they will have a strong offensive showing. So if I am leaning this way of a game script, I am using the Rams Defense in a flex and I am putting Darrell Henderson ($11,400 Captain, $7,600 Flex, $12,500 FD) as I would guess the Rams would be controlling the ball on the ground. I’d also consider Matthew Stafford ($17,400 Captain, $11,600 Flex, $16,000 FD) as the lead dog in the lineup as it is likely the Passing Game will have a positive day on a total rout. I’d try and pair Stafford with a likely pass catcher be it Robert Woods ($13,500 Captain, $9,000 Flex, $12,000 FD) Cooper Kupp ($13,200 Captain, $8,800 Flex, $11,000 FD) or TE Tyler Higbee $10,500 Captain, $7,000 Flex, $8,500 FD)
Just because you like the Rams Defense, doesn’t mean you can’t also roster a BEAR in your lineup. In this case however I would likely look to a Pass Catcher like Allen Robinson ($15,300 Captain, $10,200 Flex, $11,500 FD) or Darnell Mooney ($8,400 Captain, $5,600 Flex, $10,000 FD) or perhaps a Tight End like Cole Kmet ($7,800 Captain, $5,200 Flex, $7,500 FD) or believe it or not, old man Jimmy Graham ($6,900 Captain, $4,600 Flex, $6,500 FD). If you wanted to go deeper on the Bears, in a Rams Defense domination game script I probably wouldn’t go much deeper that also adding the kicker Cairo Santos ($4,800 Captain, $3,200 Flex ,$8,000 FD)
Now if you believe this game is a little more of an offensive shootout, than I think on the Rams side Stafford makes the most sense at Captain. It is tough to decide between Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp, but I lean Kupp in this matchup and I would certainly consider a double stack with another Rams receiver, be it Tyler Higbee or I might recommend a contrarian look at veteran DeSean Jackson ($2,100 Captain, $1,400 Flex, $7,000 FD) who is now considered the WR 3. You can also take a deep shot on 2nd year man Van Jefferson ($1,200 Captain, $800 Flex, $7,500 FD). I also want to point out that Sony Michel ($7,200 Captain, $4,800 Flex, $9,500 FD) is available to be rostered on both sites and it is very possible Coach Sean McVay is looking at Michel as a 3rd down pass catching back…
If you are stacking Ram’s offensive weapon in expectation of a shootout, you’ll want to include Andy Dalton ($14,700 Captain, $9,800 Flex, $13,500 FD) and at least one of his pass catchers, who we have highlighted with Robinson being the priority in my opinion. I also think David Montgomery ($12,600 Captain, $8,400 Flex, $13,000 FD) should be a part of any Ram’s offensive heavy lineup as if the Bears can get the ground game going, it could be cause for the Rams to be throwing (hey that rhymes!).
I think the same approaches can be considered for the Bears. You can build around the Bears Defense where I would absolutely include David Montgomery as well as Andy Dalton and a pass catcher, plus a Rams pass catcher and Rams Kicker Matt Gay ($5,400 Captain, $3,600 Flex, $9,000 FD).
Or you can look at the Bears the same way you would with the Rams in an Offensive Bonanza game. I think the priorities here again would be Allen Robinson and David Montgomery, but I also think you can double stack with a Mooney or a Tight End. I also think in a Bears offensive stack you can take a shot on Running Back Damien Williams ($2,200 Captain or Flex, $8,000 FD) who proved his worth in the Super Bowl two years ago and who I believe the Bears will try to manufacture touches for as the season goes on.
My Favorite Picks for Captain/MVP:
My Favorite Dart Throws, Contrarian Plays
If you think there is a chance that Andy Dalton gets benched, I think a very sneaky flex play tonight is Justin Fields ($9,000 Captain, $6,000 Flex,$10,000 FD). In fact, it wouldn’t shock me at all to see Fields on the field tonight for a gadget play or two.
When I am multi entering in Showdown/Single Game tournaments I always throw at least one lineup with each team’s kicker in the Captain/MVP spot. Hey you never know when 6 Field Goals in a game will take a tournament down.
I think Darnell Mooney will be a very popular play tonight in lineups. He has a lot of buzz coming out of training camp and he is significantly cheaper than Allen Robinson. While I think Robinson will also be popular, I think the contrarian way to counter act Mooney chalk would be to include David Montgomery or to a lesser extent Damien Williams in stacks with Andy Dalton and Mooney. I don’t recommend a total fade on Mooney at all but try and think differently from the competition. Dalton could toss an 80 yard bomb to Mooney landing on the 1 and Montgomery could then charge in the end zone and you just captured all of those fantasy points.
My last contrarian approach is to onslaught the Rams. I think most players will choose either Kupp or Woods and maybe also Higbee, but I doubt there will be as many stacking all of them and even including a running back, either Henderson or Michel. It is a pricey play but I’d look at a cheap secondary piece on the Bears to try and round it out.
Let’s Get Ready for Sunday Night!
Good Luck in your Contests!