Week 15 DFS Preview – Draft Kings Values – Stacks – Real Deal Fantasy HQ

You Can Find Me On Twitter @DelRayBoston

Week 15 NFL just seems like turmoil city on the main slate of games on Draft Kings. Here is the latest updates including shifted games and players that are out or doubtful:

Seahawks @ Rams – moved to Tuesday December 21st

Washington @ Philadelphia – moved to Tuesday December 21st

AND FOR SHOWDOWNS:

Raiders @ Browns is now Monday December 20th at 5PM

So that leaves us with the main slate of games and here are notable OUTS or DOUBTFULS / Highly Questionables:

LAMAR JACKSON: Dealing with a Bone Bruise in his ankle, likely game time decision

JAMES CONNOR: Game Time Decision

DEANDRE SWIFT: OUT

ELI MITCHELL: OUT

TONY POLLARD: Game Time Decision

JAMAAL WILLIAMS: Likely OUT – Covid-19

PHILLIP LINDSEY: Likely OUT – Covid-19

CARLOS HYDE: OUT

DEANDRE HOPKINS: OUT

JAYLEN WADDLE: Likely OUT – Covid-19

ELIJAH MOORE: Likely OUT – Covid-19

KADARIUS TONEY: Likely OUT – Covid-19

MARQUEZ VALDEZ SCANTLING: Game Time Decision

STERLING SHEPARD: Game Time Decision

COREY DAVIS: OUT IR

JOSH REYNOLDS: Game Time Decision

SAMMY WATKINS: Likely OUT – Covid-19

EMMANUEL SANDERS: Doubtful

RANDALL COBB: OUT IR

TJ HOCKENSON: OUT IR

So after that lengthy list a couple things to note. If Lamar is out, then the picture at the top of QB becomes much more clearer. It’s Josh Allen at home against – a decent defense, with Allen and the Bills NEEDING a win but coming off several weeks of not great offensive play. OR it’s Kyler Murray on the road against Detroit. OR it’s Aaron Rogers on the road against Baltimore. I’d rank these as The Bills being at Home has Allen as my #1, then Murray, then Rogers but I doubt I am alone in this.

The Top Tier of Running Backs is easy – Najee vs Tennessee at home, Zeke vs the Giants on the road and Mixon vs the Broncos in Denver. I go Zeke, Najee Mixon here. WR is a bit more interesting at the top with Davante Adams on the road in Baltimore, Deebo Samuel at Home against Atlanta, Stefon Diggs at home against Carolina, Deonte Johnson at home against Tennessee, CeeDee Lamb on the road against the Giants and Ja’Mar Chase on the the road in Denver. My rank is Deebo, Adams, Lamb, Johnson, Diggs, Chase …. though if Emmanuel Sanders sits, it raises Diggs up a smidge for me.

So whether you are paying up at QB, RB or WR today you will need to find some values. Here are my favorites at BELOW $6,000 on DK:

RB:

Melvin Gordon $5,900 – Likely to play and split time. Last week this split resulted in Gordon nearly hitting 100 yards. They are at home against the Bengals and I love how that sets up for Gordon.

Chubba Hubbard $5,700 – We literally just watched the Patriots destroy the Bills on the ground. With Cam under center, I doubt that the Bills are building a game plan around Hubbard.

Myles Gaskin $5,600 – Will he be the guy or won’t he … if he is, he is a proven stud and he plays the Jets ranked 31st against running backs, at home. You know what I say about Northeast Teams playing in South Florida in the colder months right … it’s a South Beach Hoodoo Voodoo and Gaskin stacked with the Dolphins Defense is a great stack to build around.

Devonte Freeman – $5,500. Freeman has dominated this backfield for 4 weeks now and whether Lamar sits or not, I’d expect a lot of dump offs to Freeman against a very game Green Bay Defense.

James Robinson $5,400 – The Urban Meyer Handcuffs are off and Robinson gets a Houston Defense allowing nearly 150 yards on the ground. No Brainer.

D’onta Foreman $5,200 – The Steelers are allowing nearly 140 yards on the ground and the Titans are still a run first offense.

Chase Edmonds $5,100 – If James Connor Sits, lock Edmonds in against the Cheat Code for Running Backs aka the Detroit Lions

Jeff Wilson Jr $5,000 – With Eli Mitchell out, this should be Wilson’s role to lose and he gets another Running Back Cheat Code in the Falcons.

David Johnson $4,900 – Davis Mills has been serviceable at QB and Johnson should be the lead dog in a game against Jacksonville with sneaky DFS appeal. Rex Burkhead is dealing with injuries. If he plays then I don’t want to touch this backfield. Too many cooks in the kitchen, with Royce Freeman also in the mix.

Michael Carter $4,700 – MC is BACK and in the game he got hurt against Miami, he was well on his way exiting after 9 rushes for 63 yards and seeing a target, of which in 3 of his last 5 he saw 4 or more of – including 2 back to back weeks of 8 and 9 targets.

Craig Reynolds $4,000 – WHO? With both Swift and Williams off the field Reynolds here dominated the backfield touches for Detroit and at least the Cardinals are allowing nearly 112 yards on the ground.

WR

Chase Claypool $5,900 against the 31st Worst Team against Wide Receivers – The Titans

Marquise Brown $5,900 if He Plays and if Lamar Plays I don’t mind it against Green Bay

Brandin Cooks $5,800 against the JAGS

Russell Gage $5,800 against the Niners

Michael Gallup $5,500 more of a Flex Play but the Giants are terrible against the deep ball.

Julio Jones $5,400 against Pittsburgh. I mean it’s Julio and then WHO? for the Titans…

Christian Kirk $5,300 with no DHop, Arizona’s WR Room just got smaller #Analysis

Aquinious St Brown $5,200 the Cardinals are not the Vikings when it comes to defense, that said I have to imagine his heroics in the Lions only win sits him atop the target tree from Goff, especially with Hockenson on IR.

AJ Green $4,900 with no DHop, Arizona’s WR Room just got smaller #Analysis

Cole Beasley $4,900 not my favorite, but he could get a lot of looks with no Sanders and Allen scrambling if the Panthers can get their pass rush going.

Devonte Parker $4,300 with no Jaylen Waddle on the field and he is home against the Jets. He may be THE value play of the day. I love the onslaught stack of Tua, Gaskin, Parker & the Defense all of which are underpriced.

Allen Lazard $4,000 with no Randall Cobb, Lazard owned the slot and ended with 20 Fantasy Points last week. Dig it.

Gabriel Davis $3,700 love Davis today. No Emmanuel Sanders (likely out) and back to back weeks with a Touchdown.

Laquon Treadwell $3,300 two straight weeks of 62 yards or better and with the Urban Meyer experience over I am really curious to see if that just opens more up for this offense on a whole.

Tight End

Dawson Knox $5,100 in a must win for the Bills

Mike Gesicki $5,100 against the Jets

Dalton Schultz $4,900 against the Giants

Freiermuth $4,500 at home against the Titans

Evan Engram $3,100 against the Cowboys

Mercedes Lewis $2,500 against Baltimore

STACKS

I love building around Jimmy Garoppolo with Deebo and Kittle. Jimmy G is $5,800. Run it back with Corradelle Patterson.

I already highlighted Tua at home against the Jets. Tua, Gaskin, Parker and the Defense. No run back needed. Tua is $5,700

Big Ben at home has always been a thing and the Steelers are in must win mode too. Ben stacked with Dionte Johnson, run it back with Julio or D’onta Foreman. The Steelers Defense and Najee isn’t a bad one either.

There is something appealing of stacking James Robinson and Brandin Cooks today.

I also am using stacks starting with both Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon.

Kyler – Chase Edmonds (or James Connor) – Zach Ertz is a solid play.

Allen – Diggs – Knox or Gabe Davis appeals to me, run it back with Chubba Hubbard

Rogers – Adams – Lazard. Book it Danno.

DSTs I AM LOOKING AT:

Cardinals vs Detroit

Miami vs the Jets

Cowboys vs Giants

Packers vs Baltimore (if Lamar is out)

Niners vs Falcons

Bills at Home vs Cam Newton

Broncos in Mile High vs the Bengals

Texans vs Jacksonville

Jacksonville vs Texans

GOOD LUCK WITH YOUR CONTESTS

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: