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So if you haven’t had enough of Monday Night Football after the Browns and Raiders – good news! The Vikings and Bears are ready to give you another show, this time NFC Style! This historic rivalry still carries some significance for the Vikings in regards to the playoff picture so I would expect this game to have some juice to it …
However it was announced this afternoon that the Bears would be without their entire starting secondary, which really makes this game interesting and quite frankly I was already a bit concerned with the Bears keeping it competitive, but now I am really concerned.
I think this game could have a lot of fireworks and I think being in Chicago outside, in the cold, at Soldiers Field could also add an element of surprise to the mix so let’s get into it.
Dalvin Cook $17,700 Captain. Cook has been on a tear lately. Yes there was the 222 total yard 2 touchdown game against the Steelers most recently. But you also have 86 yards and a score against Green Bay, 94 yards and a score against the Chargers, 110 yards against the Ravens and 140 yards and a score against the Panthers, all within the last 8 games. The Bears are allowing over 120 yards on the ground and I expect the Vikings to come out run first all game long – especially with a lead. With Alexander Mattison out due to Covid, I expect Dalvin (barring injury) to even have a more increased role. I like him at Captain on DK and love him at MVP on FanDuel. He should see around 20% ownership at the top and 50% ownership tonight but the raw points may be needed in a offensively concentrated match up like this. I also like the Cook-Vikings defense stack.
Justin Jefferson $16,800 Captain. Adam Thielen is looking like a game time decision. If he plays I like a lineup with him at Captain too, but either way I LOVED Jefferson going into tonight and with the news of the Chicago secondary I REALLY LOVE Jefferson here. 79 or more yards in 5 Straight Games including 3 140+ yard performances in that span. Double Digit targets in 4 of those 5 too. Also 5 touchdowns in the last 6 weeks. This is the #1 target for Kirk Cousins and I don’t know how much that really changes whether Thielen is on the field or not. He is my Top Pick for a Vikings captain tonight.
(Editor’s Note – Since we do not know if Adam Thielen is playing or not as of right now, the most I will say here is if he is in and is announced literally at Game Time he will be a sneaky Captain play on DK. Otherwise, if he does play I like him in the flex on Lineups with Jackson or Cousins at Captain).
Kirk Cousins $16,500 Captain. Where about 35% of Captain ownership is going to Dalvin Cook or Justin Jefferson, only 10% is going to Cousins and I really like seeing that. Cousins, with a depleted Chicago secondary could be deadly in this Must Win situation that the Vikings find themselves in. Cousins is averaging 34 Pass attempts all season and in fact he has only dipped below 30 attempts once. Cousins isn’t my favorite pick at Captain but man if Adam Thielen plays, I really like Cousins tonight. Otherwise I like the stack with Jefferson, with Jefferson at Captain.
Vikings Defense – Normally I would save this till later but more and more in 2021 when we have middle of the road defenses playing running quarterbacks, it pays to have a piece of that defense in your lineup. Not at Captain tonight but definitely a Flex consideration against Justin Fields.
(If Adam Thielen Sits)
KJ Osborn $8,700 Captain 1.5% ownership at Captain. Osborn started the season hot and then went ice cold, but last week with Thielen off the field, Osborn took 3 catches for 83 yards and a score and it is that kind of explosiveness you want at Captain on DK, especially with the ownership already so low, I can’t see it shooting up even if Thielen is officially ruled out. I also love this guy as a flex in a Kirk Cousins led lineup double stacked with Jefferson (if Thielen is out).
Tyler Conklin $8,100 Captain. 3% ownership at Captain. Believe it or not with Adam Thielen off the field, somehow Conklin had his lowest target total of the season in the Vikings last game at 2. Normally good for 3 targets a game he has seen as high as 8 & 9 twice. He is mainly averaging 5 per game. The Conk also has 3 touchdowns on the season. The Bears are top 5 against the tight ends so if Theilen is in, I am likely out on the Conk. If Theilen is out though he becomes much more interesting as a cheap Flex play in a Vikings stack.
Greg Joseph $5,100 Flex. 20% ownership. The Vikings kicker has been one of the busiest in the NFL this season. Averaging 3 FG attempts per game including 3 games this season with 4 or more, if the Vikings are short handed and the Bears rally at home – Joseph could be busy tonight. I’d keep him in the mix as you build your lineups.
Vikings Dart Throws: Quick Note here, the Vikings have elevated some WRs from the practice squad which are unavailable to be rostered on DK. So the only WR Dart Throw I can mention is Ihmir Smith-Marsette at $200, and only if Thielen sits.
I’d also throw at least one line up with Kene Nwangwu who is backing up Dalvin Cook at $800 and if you want to really go deep, Wayne Gallman at $600.
Last dart throw I’ll mention is TE2 Chris Herndon who has seen some targets including a nice 17 yard catch last week.
DA BEARS CAPTAINS
David Montgomery $13,500 Captain 9% owned at Captain. If it wasn’t the Bears, I would say Lock Monty in at Captain on DK and MVP on FanDuel and build around it but, unfortunately every time I say that the Bears find a way to foul it up. If they are smart then it should be Montgomery early and often with a couple change of pace breaks. The Vikings are allowing nearly 130 yards on the ground and if they want to control this game it should be Montgomery, Montgomery, Montgomery … but it’s Matt Nagy and the Bears and I can’t say lock him in with good conscience when he has had 20 or more carries only 3 times all season.
Justin Fields $15,600 Captain 10% owned at Captain. The Vikings are dominating Captain ownership so getting Fields and the Bears at a massive ownership discount – especially at Captain – makes me very interested in this play. First it’s the Vikings, ranked 31st against Quarterbacks. Second it’s Fields and his ability to extend plays with his legs and 3rd – He has receivers now he wants to throw too! Dameire Byrd led the receivers with 76 yards and score, Jakeem Grant was second with 46 yards and a score, Darnell Mooney of course was in the mix – all told against the Packers Fields hit passes to 7 different receivers. The more I think about it the more I like Fields at Captain and don’t even mind him on FanDuel at MVP either with his running ability. Stack him with Byrd and Grant and not only do you have a contrarian lineup with upside, you may have the whole Chicago offense too!
Cairo Santos $4,800 Captain 1% owned at Captain. Santos has had 3 or more FG attempts in 4 of his last 5 games and against this Vikings “bend but don’t break” Defense, I think it will be more of the same tonight for the veteran. If anyone knows how to kick in Soldiers Field in December it’s Santos too. I give you permission to use a Kicker at Captain tonight.
Bears Wide Receivers at Captain:
Allen Robinson is out with Covid. Not that it would have mattered, I don’t think we needed another 4 for 46 line to spend our DK money on, but his absence has created opportunity as we mentioned above. So I will have a lineup with each of the Bears WRs at Captain. I like the shiny new toys the most:
Damiere Byrd – $6,900 1.3% owned at Captain
Jakeem Grant – $7,500 2% owned at Captain
Darnell Mooney – $11,100 6% owned at Captain
Stack with Justin Fields and mix and match them on a double stack.
Bears Dart Throws: The Tight Ends, Cole Kmet & Jimmy Graham. The Vikings are a top 10 team against tight ends and with the emergence of Byrd and Grant, I am not sure how much we will see from the Bears TE in regards to production.
Running Back Damien Williams $1,600 Flex 6% owned. Williams is an adept pass catcher and as I alluded too earlier, the Bears just don’t seem to want to give this backfield entirely to Montgomery. Particularly if they fall behind, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Williams on your screen often. I could even see Khalil Herbert out there as a change of pace, but my preferred non Montgomery Bears running back is Williams.
Also the Bears Defense – it’s 2021 and anything can happen.
GOOD LUCK IN YOUR CONTESTS!