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Well here we are. Superbowl 56! If you asked almost anyone if this would the Superbowl we would see on September 1st 2021, odds are no one would have picked this matchup. Outside of course of Rams and Bengals Fans but dollars to donuts even those fans wouldn’t have guessed they’d be facing off. But here we are.
From a DFS Perspective I think you are doing one of two things. A). Building Showdown Lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel or another site or B). Placing some bets on a site or app like Prize Picks. So this article will focus on both. Showdown Picks for DK and Over/Under picks I like on Prize Picks.
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Draft Kings Showdown Strategy & Picks
Superbowls are games where Superstars shine and unlikely Heroes emerge. However in both those cases history has shined more favorably for both Superstars and Unlikely Heroes to be pass catchers. David Tyree Helmet Catch. Mr Do Everything Troy Brown. Rice. Just a few examples that stand out to me. So 99% of my showdown lineups today will be pass catchers at Captain.
I have to be honest, my favorite right now is Odell Beckham Jr $12,600 at Captain but only 23% owned. In a very concentrated offensive game like this, 23% is really appealing. Coming off a NFC Championship game where he finished with 113 yards, the only thing he was missing was a Touchdown. I bet he gets one today.
Of course Cooper Kupp is the man. $17,400 may be too cheap still. 49% ownership may not even be enough. 5 Straight Games with a touchdown or better. 4 of the last 5 with 95 or more yards. He is as close to unstoppable that we have seen this season. So of course the majority of my lineups will have Kupp at Captain and I don’t care what the critics say.
Between Odell and Kupp you may forget about Van Jefferson $7,800 20% ownership and as a deep play threat in a Superbowl especially if the Bengals are able to effectively rush the passer as they did in Kansas City, Stafford has the arm to sling it deep if that rush creates a one on one down the sideline for Jefferson. Also with injury comes opportunity … enter Kendall Blanton at Tight End for the Rams 22% ownership $6,900. He caught all 5 of his targets for 57 yards in the NFC Championship game and now with 2 weeks of prep with the starters, this could be a Blanton Breakout moment. He is on my radar.
From an ownership perspective you really are gaining an edge between Ja’marr Chase 30% and Tee Higgins 27% so I say mix and match them. In my opinion both have a great opportunity is Joe Burrow is able to navigate the amazing Rams front 5 accordingly. Chase is on an absolute record rookie tear without question with probably only Kupp rivaling his current hot streak. The fact that Kupp is seeing significantly more ownership makes me a very interested in both of the Bengal’s rookie. Pricing also makes Higgins, on his own little tear as well very appealing to. Chase $15,600 at Captain, Higgins $11,400. That’s nice.
Similarly to the Rams most ownership will be going to Chase and Higgins, so don’t forget about Tyler Boyd 23% owned $8,100 and CJ Uzomah $6,600 20% owned – two safety nets for Burrow and in the case of Uzomah a nice favorable matchup.
For me I like the pass catchers at Captain most and from a construction standpoint I think if you are able to mix and match 3 – 4 of the above keying in on Kupp, Beckham, Chase, Higgins first and filling out with Jefferson, Blanton, Boyd or Uzomah, is going to be a smart strategy.
I prefer using Joe Burrow ($10,600 flex 49% owned) stacks with his receivers more than I do Matt Stafford ($10,800 51% owned) stacks but of course I will have at least one Stafford – Kupp stack in my mix. If I am not going Pass Catcher at Captain, I like Joe Mixon $14,400 36% owned and I also LOVE the Cam Akers price of $9,600 and Akers also is only pulling around 30% ownership. Both Mixon and Akers are adept pass catchers and I think both will have sizable roles today. The other way I am going is the Defenses with the Rams my favorite of the two $5,100 14% owned but the Bengals looked good against Mahomes and at $4,800 and 10% owned, I’ll have a couple captained lineups.
And as you build your lineups, don’t forget the kickers! We all know how important Kickers can be in Superbowls if you find yourself with the money at the end of you build, roster a kicker every once in a while. Especially if you are mass multi entering. And don’t sleep on a dart throw on Sony Michel either.
PRIZE PICKS, PICKS
Alright if you are new to Prize Picks – no problem. Here is the general thing to know. DAILY FANTASY BETTING. Yup if you are in a state that allows DFS, they allow Prize Picks and here is a look at some AWESOME lines to consider today for the Super Bowl:
Matthew Stafford Over/Under 280.5 Passing Yards.
In 3 of his last five games, Stafford has gone for over 300 yards against 3 tough defenses Baltimore, San Fran and Tampa Bay which of course was the last two games. I like the OVER here. However the Bengals defense has averaged under 220 yards passing on the road all season. So it isn’t without risk.
Joe Burrow Over/Under 275.5 Passing Yards
In 3 of his last five games, Burrow also has gone over 300 yards BUT he only needed to throw 250 yards to beat Kansas City, so you’d think I’d like the UNDER here – but NO, I like the OVER. The Rams have allowed an average 316 passing yards at home – and they are at home.
Cam Akers Over/Under 54.5 Rushing Yards
Since he has been back, Akers has hit 55 yards only once. He has actually averaged 47.5 per game for 3 games. While I think he has an impact in the passing game, I like the UNDER here. The Bengals are allowing an average of 110 yards on the ground but Sony Michel is also getting touches.
Joe Mixon Over/Under 60.5 Rushing Yards
Twice in his last 5, Mixon has gone over 60.5. Against Tennessee in the playoffs he only needed 6.5 more yards to meet this. It’s a gamble, but I’ll take the OVER here. Barring injury there really isn’t much competition for Mixon for touches and even though the Rams average under 100 yards on the ground at home, we only need Mixon to get 61 to hit paydirt.
Cooper Kupp Over/Under 8 Receptions
Kupp has had more than 8 catches in a game more time this season more than he did under. Over the last two playoff games he has 9 and 11 catches respectively. I like the OVER here and see Kupp being involved from jump.
Ja’Marr Chase Over/Under 18 Fantasy Points
Chase has had 17.7 or higher fantasy points in 4 of the last 5. However, something about today feels like we may see the Rams throwing the kitchen sink against Chase. I am inclined to take the UNDER here, as much as I love Chase as the player.
Odell Beckham Jr Over/Under .5 Touchdowns.
I’m locking in the OVER. #Analysis
This is just a small sampling of the one of a kind bets you can make today at Prize Picks and I really encourage you to check it out and at least see what you could do. Hit 2 and win Hit 3 and win big! Parlay All Day Baby!
Good Luck in your Contests!